Organigram Holdings Stock Volatility

OGI Stock  USD 1.58  0.05  3.27%   
OrganiGram Holdings maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of close to zero, which implies the firm had a close to zero % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. OrganiGram Holdings exposes twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check OrganiGram Holdings' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0161, semi deviation of 3.23, and Coefficient Of Variation of 10010.43 to confirm the risk estimate we provide.

Sharpe Ratio = -0.0086

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CashSmall RiskAverage RiskHigh RiskHuge Risk
Negative ReturnsOGI
Based on monthly moving average OrganiGram Holdings is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of OrganiGram Holdings by adding OrganiGram Holdings to a well-diversified portfolio.
Key indicators related to OrganiGram Holdings' volatility include:
90 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
90 Days Economic Sensitivity
OrganiGram Holdings Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of OrganiGram daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use OrganiGram's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of OrganiGram Holdings volatility.
Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of OrganiGram Holdings at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase OrganiGram stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower their average cost per share, thereby improving the overall portfolio performance when market normalizes. Main indicators related to OrganiGram Holdings' market risk premium analysis include:
Beta
0.71
Alpha
(0.03)
Risk
4.06
Sharpe Ratio
(0.01)
Expected Return
(0.03)

Moving together with OrganiGram Stock

  0.7BKNG Booking HoldingsPairCorr

Moving against OrganiGram Stock

  0.66PSGTF PT Semen IndonesiaPairCorr
  0.4PG Procter GamblePairCorr

OrganiGram Holdings Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

OrganiGram Holdings' beta coefficient measures the volatility of OrganiGram stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents OrganiGram stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, OrganiGram Holdings's beta of 0.71 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk OrganiGram Holdings stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. OrganiGram Holdings shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OrganiGram Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OrganiGram Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
Check current 90 days OrganiGram Holdings correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)
α-0.03   β0.71
3 Months Beta |Analyze OrganiGram Holdings Demand Trend
Check current 90 days OrganiGram Holdings correlation with market (Dow Jones Industrial)

OrganiGram Holdings Volatility and Downside Risk

OrganiGram standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Using OrganiGram Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on OrganiGram Holdings grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of OrganiGram Holdings at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of OrganiGram Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge OrganiGram Holdings' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding OrganiGram Holdings will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

OrganiGram Holdings' PUT expiring on 2026-03-20

   Profit   
       OrganiGram Holdings Price At Expiration  

Current OrganiGram Holdings Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
OGI260320P00001000-0.1195950.28947982026-03-200.0 - 0.050.0View
Put
OGI260320P00002000-0.6391240.5397063322026-03-200.25 - 0.650.0View
View All OrganiGram Holdings Options

OrganiGram Holdings Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which OrganiGram Holdings stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with OrganiGram Holdings' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of OrganiGram Holdings' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of OrganiGram Holdings' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures OrganiGram Holdings' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict OrganiGram Holdings' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for OrganiGram Holdings' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on OrganiGram Holdings' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. OrganiGram Holdings Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

OrganiGram Holdings Projected Return Density Against Market

Considering the 90-day investment horizon OrganiGram Holdings has a beta of 0.7056 . This indicates as returns on the market go up, OrganiGram Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding OrganiGram Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OrganiGram Holdings or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OrganiGram Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OrganiGram stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
OrganiGram Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
OrganiGram Holdings' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how organigram stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an OrganiGram Holdings Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract investor attention to the company. This positive attention may impact the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

OrganiGram Holdings Stock Risk Measures

Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of OrganiGram Holdings is -11624.81. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 16.5 and standard deviation of 4.06. The mean deviation of OrganiGram Holdings is currently at 2.84. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (Dow Jones Industrial) has volatility of 0.81
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
4.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

OrganiGram Holdings Stock Return Volatility

OrganiGram Holdings historical daily return volatility represents how much of OrganiGram Holdings stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm has volatility of 4.0614% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, Dow Jones Industrial accepts 0.807% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

Related Correlations Analysis


Correlation Matchups

Over a given time period, the two securities move together when the Correlation Coefficient is positive. Conversely, the two assets move in opposite directions when the Correlation Coefficient is negative. Determining your positions' relationship to each other is valuable for analyzing and projecting your portfolio's future expected return and risk.

High positive correlations

HSDTINFU
SXTCINFU
LFCRIVA
ELMDLFCR
ACBINFU
SXTCACB
  

High negative correlations

SXTCIVA
ELMDHSDT
IVAINFU
ELMDINFU
OBIODERM
LFCRHSDT

Risk-Adjusted Indicators

There is a big difference between OrganiGram Stock performing well and OrganiGram Holdings Company doing well as a business compared to the competition. There are so many exceptions to the norm that investors cannot definitively determine what's good or bad unless they analyze OrganiGram Holdings' multiple risk-adjusted performance indicators across the competitive landscape. These indicators are quantitative in nature and help investors forecast volatility and risk-adjusted expected returns across various positions.
Mean DeviationJensen AlphaSortino RatioTreynor RatioSemi DeviationExpected ShortfallPotential UpsideValue @RiskMaximum Drawdown
DERM  2.68  0.00 (0.01) 0.08  3.74 
 5.63 
 20.94 
INFU  2.13 (0.50) 0.00 (0.40) 0.00 
 4.12 
 12.17 
ACB  2.74 (0.50) 0.00 (0.64) 0.00 
 4.36 
 30.41 
HSDT  5.80 (1.26) 0.00 (0.45) 0.00 
 11.70 
 29.52 
RNAC  3.60 (0.29) 0.00 (0.34) 0.00 
 7.26 
 28.90 
OBIO  3.90 (0.10) 0.00  0.04  4.09 
 10.17 
 22.05 
IVA  3.44  0.61  0.14  1.86  3.61 
 9.41 
 20.30 
SXTC  10.11 (3.63) 0.00 (3.65) 0.00 
 18.34 
 106.44 
LFCR  2.22  0.03  0.02  0.10  2.43 
 6.17 
 16.31 
ELMD  1.80  0.29  0.10  1.24  2.12 
 4.08 
 10.99 

About OrganiGram Holdings Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of OrganiGram Holdings or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of OrganiGram Holdings may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to OrganiGram's beta indicator, it measures the risk of OrganiGram Holdings and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of OrganiGram Holdings fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses35.8 M37.5 M
Market Cap324 M340.2 M
OrganiGram Holdings' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on OrganiGram Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much OrganiGram Holdings' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize OrganiGram Holdings' volatility to invest better

Higher OrganiGram Holdings' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of OrganiGram Holdings stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. OrganiGram Holdings stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of OrganiGram Holdings investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in OrganiGram Holdings' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of OrganiGram Holdings' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

OrganiGram Holdings Investment Opportunity

OrganiGram Holdings has a volatility of 4.06 and is 5.01 times more volatile than Dow Jones Industrial. 36 percent of all equities and portfolios are less risky than OrganiGram Holdings. You can use OrganiGram Holdings to enhance the returns of your portfolios. The stock experiences an unexpected upward trend. Watch out for market signals. Check odds of OrganiGram Holdings to be traded at $1.896 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between OrganiGram Holdings and DJI is 0.23 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding OrganiGram Holdings and DJI in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

OrganiGram Holdings Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of OrganiGram Holdings' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in OrganiGram Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of OrganiGram Holdings stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

OrganiGram Holdings Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against OrganiGram Holdings as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. OrganiGram Holdings' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, OrganiGram Holdings' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to OrganiGram Holdings.

Complementary Tools for OrganiGram Stock analysis

When running OrganiGram Holdings' price analysis, check to measure OrganiGram Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OrganiGram Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of OrganiGram Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OrganiGram Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OrganiGram Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OrganiGram Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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